Chasing A Flush on the Net
January 21st, 2013 at 10:21
Chasing a flush online – Sometimes the numbers just do not add up!
There’s an age old debate in poker – must you chase a flush? 1st of all we must define what we mean here by "chasing a flush online."
Chasing anything in Texas holdem poker could be the practice of betting to stay in a hands in the hope that you just will generate a much better hands, even though you may have absolutely nothing in the time. So chasing a flush suggests gambling that you just will acquire the card or card that you must total your flush hands within the turn or river. You can’t chase a flush prior to the flop because at that time you only have 2 cards so the flush isn’t on.
So let’s say you happen to be playing one of the big poker web sites on the internet, you’ve been dealt the Ace and nine of spades and you have paid to see the flop.
The flop is twos seven-s King of diamonds and one of your opponents comes out betting strongly with a fair sized increase, what do you do?
First of all ask your self what type of hand you happen to be up against. The possibilities are triples, one more flush draw, a pair of Kings or a complete bluff, so as it stands you are only succeeding towards the bluff with your Ace. About the other palm should you hit a spade in the last two cards you have the nut flush and could only lose to a full house or four of a kind.
Within the face of it you could possibly assume that statistically you may have about a 50-50 chance of hitting your spade, after all there is 2 cards to arrive and four suits so there must be about a half probability, correct?
Wrong!
You already have two of the spades in your hand and there is a different two showing on the table, so you know five cards and 4 of them are spades. That indicates you might have 9 spades left readily available out of the forty seven cards you have not seen, which is only a forty two per-cent opportunity of catching your flush.
When you do wager on the turn and do not make your flush, what do you do then? You’ve got probably now turn into pot-committed, you’ve put so a lot into the pot that you simply may well as effectively bet again about the river unless there is a huge raise or all-in in opposition to you, but now your odds of generating the flush have dropped dramatically to only twenty one per-cent.
But what of that other factor, the mysterious web poker syndrome? What I imply by that’s although you statistically have a forty two per-cent chance of producing a flush, is that what in fact happens in reality? In case you played the similar palm in the similar web-based poker table one hundred times would you obtain a flush forty two times? From my personal experience I doubt it. Flushes seem to arrive around a lot less often than forty two out of 100 occasions!
That’s just my own opinion and I’m positive the poker web-sites would tell you a diverse story, except the way I see it’s 42 per-cent is the really Finest you are ever going to get and you might effectively have a good deal much less possibility than that of hitting your flush.
Bottom line? Chasing a flush on line is a extremely risky strategy that sucks you in and over commits you, without giving you sufficient of a likelihood of pulling out the winning hand.